Published: April 9th 2009
Source: Diane Francis, Financial Post
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Canadian National Railway Co. has
developed a transformative strategy it calls the "Pipeline on Rail"
that can move oil-sands production quickly and cheaply to markets in
North America or Asia.
Currently, pipelines charge $17.95 per barrel to ship oil from
Alberta to the U. S. Gulf Coast. Estimates are that the increase in
pipeline capacity to four million barrels a day from the oil sands
to the Gulf of Mexico would cost about $25-billion to build and take
years to complete. CN could gear up its capacity to ship by rail up
to four million barrels a day of oil at less cost and more quickly,
bypassing the need to finance huge pipelines. By the end of this
year, the company will be shipping 10,000 barrels daily from
producers whose reserves are now stranded.
"Not
enough pipeline capacity exists today to move bitumen [gooey
oil-sands production], diluted bitumen [called dilbit] or synthetic
crude," Jim Foote, CN's executive vice-president of sales and
marketing, said in an interview this week. "We can get their
products today to market using the concept of a pipeline on rail and
move it directly either into the U. S. or to the West Coast [for
shipment to Asia], which creates the flexibility. It means smaller
producers are not just tied to a refinery down in Texas."
Mr. Foote, an American from Chicago, is excited about the concept,
which may, once volumes build, eventually replace freight tonnage
lost in the manufacturing and forestry sectors during this severe
recession.
CN recently acquired the Athabasca Northern Railway linking Edmonton
to Fort McMurray, Alta., to cash in on the oil sands action. The
railway will deliver the oil sands production through the use of
insulated and heatable railcars or by reducing its viscosity by
mixing it with condensates or diluents.
The "scalability" of the concept -- up to millions of barrels per
day -- means that the railway can ramp up production cheaply and
quickly to provide immediate cash flow to producers, who otherwise
will have to wait years for completion of upgraders and/or
pipelines.
"That's the beauty of having the rail system. It's scalable, can go
in any direction they want to go -- to the West Coast ports of
Prince Rupert, Kitimat or Vancouver, or down to the Gulf coast --
where the capacity is already in place and where they are used to
refining heavy crude," he said.
The cost of a pipeline expansion from Edmonton to Kitimat, B. C., is
estimated at $4-billion to handle nearly 600,000 barrels per day of
bitumen and diluent. But producers will have to sign on, and take
the pricing risk, for 20 years and wait years to get it built.
CN estimates it could ship and have the capacity to handle 2.6
million barrels a day of oil products to the West Coast if 20,000
railcars were added to its fleet.
For instance, CN's current volume of coal shipments is equivalent to
transporting 624,000 barrels per day and represents only 5% of CN's
business. CN moves about 130 trains a day in Western Canada alone.
To add 10% of the potential oil sands production of four million
daily to the company's operations, or 400,000 barrels daily, would
be equivalent to between four to six new trains a day.
The rail option also circumvents the problem, for Canadian
producers, of reliance on monopoly markets in the United States, and
on the fickleness of environmental politics south of the border.
"As the oil sands issues have developed recently, and prices come
down, and a lot of the upgrader facilities have gone away, the need
for some way to get the smaller and medium-sized players into the
marketplace is becoming critical," Mr. Foote said.
"The number I have seen for constructing a pipeline to serve the
West Coast is $4-billion. Our rail network is already in place to
get to all the West Coast ports. Any terminal facilities needed
would have to be put in place whether customers used pipeline or
rail.CN's service is scalable, meaning capacity can be matched with
production," Mr. Foote added. "Our target is to be moving 10,000
barrels a day by the end of this year. "
CN is going to test its concept shortly with producers. Immediate
beneficiaries will be projects now being developed by Japanese,
French and American partnerships, which are located along CN's line
between Edmonton and Fort McMurray.

